McDonald's Q3 Earnings Preview: What Wall Street Expects and Why It Matters (2025)

McDonald's earnings report is just around the corner, and the stakes couldn't be higher. As a barometer of consumer spending, the fast-food giant's performance often reflects the financial pulse of everyday Americans. But here's where it gets intriguing: despite persistent warnings about low-income diners cutting back, Wall Street is betting on another quarter of same-store sales growth. Could McDonald's value-driven strategy be the secret weapon in an uncertain economy? Let's dive in.

Expected to unveil its third-quarter results before Wednesday's opening bell, McDonald's is projected to deliver earnings per share of $3.33 and revenue of $7.1 billion, according to LSEG-surveyed analysts. These numbers come at a critical time, as the company has spent over a year cautioning about reduced spending from budget-conscious customers. Yet, the anticipated growth suggests its affordability focus might be resonating more than expected.

And this is the part most people miss: the return of fan-favorite menu items could be a game-changer. In July, McDonald's reintroduced Snack Wraps after a nine-year hiatus, sparking nostalgia and curiosity. Then, in September, the chain brought back Extra Value Meals, a pre-pandemic staple. These strategic moves appear to be paying off, with StreetAccount estimates pointing to a 3.5% global same-store sales increase.

But here's the controversial twist: while international markets are expected to outshine the U.S. with stronger growth, domestic sales are still projected to rise by 1.9%. Is this a sign of resilience or a warning that American consumers are tightening their belts? It's a debate worth having.

Despite these bright spots, McDonald's stock has climbed just 3% year-to-date, lagging behind broader market gains. Investor worries about the restaurant industry and economic headwinds have kept shares in check, even as the company boasts a staggering $212 billion market cap. So, here's the question: Can McDonald's continue to defy expectations, or is this growth momentum too good to last? Share your thoughts below—we want to hear from you!

McDonald's Q3 Earnings Preview: What Wall Street Expects and Why It Matters (2025)
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